Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.032278 0.037304 0.042868 0.049488 0.057153 0.065754 0.076147
2026-02-01 0.023526 0.029882 0.037616 0.047733 0.060637 0.076577 0.097813
2026-02-08 0.018811 0.025686 0.034681 0.047337 0.064735 0.087885 0.121159
2026-02-15 0.015611 0.022616 0.032340 0.046866 0.068101 0.098146 0.144132
2026-02-22 0.013622 0.020765 0.031201 0.047619 0.072934 0.110708 0.171772
2026-03-01 0.011847 0.018890 0.029656 0.047391 0.076061 0.120915 0.197049
2026-03-08 0.010208 0.016951 0.027687 0.046122 0.077228 0.128026 0.218160
2026-03-15 0.008856 0.015265 0.025857 0.044754 0.077924 0.134282 0.238467
2026-03-22 0.008098 0.014457 0.025345 0.045483 0.082177 0.146909 0.271322
2026-03-29 0.007373 0.013601 0.024625 0.045717 0.085520 0.158260 0.303284
2026-04-05 0.006725 0.012797 0.023886 0.045793 0.088530 0.169287 0.336001
2026-04-12 0.006223 0.012197 0.023437 0.046332 0.092441 0.182409 0.374447
2026-04-19 0.005832 0.011773 0.023289 0.047477 0.097768 0.199098 0.422776
2026-04-26 0.005199 0.010792 0.021943 0.046053 0.097716 0.205032 0.449593
2026-05-03 0.004755 0.010142 0.021180 0.045729 0.099900 0.215823 0.488353
2026-05-10 0.004352 0.009526 0.020411 0.045286 0.101753 0.226098 0.527349
2026-05-17 0.004094 0.009191 0.020194 0.046017 0.106281 0.242771 0.583348
2026-05-24 0.003784 0.008706 0.019592 0.045797 0.108600 0.254719 0.629794
2026-05-31 0.003433 0.008082 0.018609 0.044571 0.108391 0.260746 0.662579
2026-06-07 0.003112 0.007492 0.017636 0.043251 0.107779 0.265718 0.693391
2026-06-14 0.002953 0.007272 0.017503 0.043955 0.112260 0.283705 0.760446
2026-06-21 0.002779 0.006991 0.017194 0.044180 0.115555 0.299119 0.822881
2026-06-28 0.002610 0.006707 0.016842 0.044254 0.118462 0.313900 0.885733